>From the keyboard (or is it pen?) of Malcolm Gladwell comes The Social Life of Paper, a review of The Myth of the Paperless Office (which seems like a expansion of some of the ideas about paper and the paperless office from The Social Life of Information). Someone (Gladwell? Gleick? Standage? Me?) should write a book called Technologies That Were Supposed to Completely Supplant Older Technologies But Didn't and Why. Chapters could include "Computers vs. Paper", "The Internet vs. Television", and "Amazon.com vs. Bookstores". What chapters would you recommend (and why)?
Velcro vs. shoelaces
Segway vs. walking/bicycling/calling a cab
Irony vs. sincerity
Clip-on vs. four-in-hand
Flow-bee vs. scissors
computers vs. manual labor (my parents used to tell me as a kid that I needed to know how to use computers, since manufacturing would be entirely computer based in my adulthood - mostly true?)
TV vs. Radio (radio wasn't completely killed)
Internet Radio vs. local FM radio
Cellphone web browsers replacing Palms/Blackberries/laptops
The web vs. Newspapers (mostly true that web papers replaced paper-based sales of news?)
broadband would be everywhere
set-top boxes on every television
pay-per-view/on-demand TV vs. cable/satalite TV
Distance Learning/computer based training (CBT)/"virtual colleges" vs. honest-to-goodness face-to-face classrooms and real school campuses
"walled cities" online like the well, e-word, aol, compuserve vs. open, non-proprietary standard internet
I know there must be dozens more.
weblogs vs. journalism (although I don't know if anyone has actually suggested that weblogs will replace journalism, except maybe certain crackpots, and we all know who I'm talking about here)
Cable vs broadcast tv
New math vs. "Old Math" (I think Old math is still around)
email vs. real mail
video vs. the radio star
New coke vs. Classic coke
Robots vs. the rest of us
Creationsim vs. Evolutionism
ebooks vs real books
contact lenses vs glasses (most ppl i know like glasses better)
Aibo vs. kitten
Minidisc vs. CD
SDMI vs. MP3
sorry, it was the first thing that came to mind.
Hydro/wind/solar Electricity v. Oil/Coal Electricity
[Carbon] Fiber v. Metal
I really want to write about GM food v. traditional/organically farmed food; but a vast majority of the farmers (world wide) have already moved into GM farming. [GM] Food v. Cancer just doesn't sound right as a chapter heading. Also "traditional farming" is not always "organically grown."
Well, so says Mr. Kelbough...
online chat vs. chat at the road corner
e-books vs. real books.
mp3 vs. real-life concert.
spam vs. letter-junk
My idea for a chapter would be somewhat less IT based than many so far posted. How about:
domestic labour saving machines (vaccuum cleaners, washing machines etc) vs. the chore of housework
and another, perhaps more sobering:
rational humanism vs. fundamentalist religious bigotry
How many years have we been told to expect the demise of the paper-bound book in favour of books we can read electronically?
I dont know about you, but I much prefer flicking through a real book than reading anything longer than a few paragraphs online.
you know, i remember those at&t ads - a lot of that stuff is happening or about to happen . . .
more recent hype:
VRML vs. HTML
broadband vs. dialup
WAP vs. SMS
3G vs. GSM
indesign vs. quark
I mean, come on, every futurist magazine since the 40's was showing off all the jetpacks, flying cars and levitating whatzits that'd we'd all have in the year 2000, and I don't know about you, but I'm still taking the damn subway.
PC vs. Mac
CD vs. vinyl
Seems to me that there is a counter-revolution that goes with every revolution.
Examples: flatscreen vs. CRT, DVD vs. VHS.
When the innovation catches on, the old technology gets way cheaper and in doing so experiences a boom in sales. If I had to buy a new monitor, I could spend $600 on a 15" flatscreen Studio Display in Graphite or $175 on a 19" Sont CRT that doesn't match my G4's color scheme. I remember when displays were $100 an inch.
Cellular vs. Land Line
Virtual Reality vs. Reality
Every Musical Format vs. Each Other
Every Musical Genre vs. Each Other
Digital Photography vs. Film Photography
There is some irony in this. Newspapers were once the place for breaking news -- "the first draft of history." Now that we consume most information through other, instant media, newspapers have become the place where stories are investigated and given depth. What did the papers have left to say on Sept. 12 last year? They had already turned to reflection and analysis.
So I still get regular mail, but email has virtually eliminated the friendly physical letter (except from grandma). And I saw instant messaging almost immediately replace certain emails when I decided to adopt that technology.
Virtually every list above makes me more interested in how the existing thing changed when the new one arrived.
electricity vs. gasoline
Star Trek future vs. the more likely Star Wars future
intelligent consumerism vs. the increasing SUV market
flying cars vs. the increasing SUV market
portable mp3 players vs. whistling
cloning vs. sanctity of life
reuse, reduce, recycle vs. inconspicuous consumption
the homo erectus vs. this
self defense vs. running away
Brian Eno has talked a lot about this in terms of synthesizers and computerized mixing equipment. Synth designers were always building in presets that supposedly emulated traditional instruments like violins or oboes. These always sounded awful and soon musicians discovered that the best sounds to come out of a synth were the ones that didn't sound like anything else.
Virtual Reality vs. Reality
Avatars vs. Humans
Smart cards vs. Not so smart cards
Video via PC vs. Dedicated Video link
Paying for content vs. Peer to Peer
spork vs. spoon and fork
fat removing lotions/creams/drugs/machines "as seen on tv" vs. getting off the sofa and exercising
spray-on hair vs. the hair club for men
robots maids (like rosie on the jetsons) never came to fruition, either, darnit.
8 tracks vs LP's
---
Can you guess when I was a kid?
Possible title: "Why Hype Pops"
Color Photography/Movies vs. Black & White
I like the color/b&w issue because new technology came along and fundamentally altered the context and meaning of the previous tech (b&w), but did not demolish it.
Off the top of my own head
synthetics vs. cotton
3-d movies vs. flatscreens
webvan vs. grocery stores
Palm pilot vs. sticky notes
erasable pens vs. regular pens
1.4 M floppy disks vs. all other portable storage media
polaroids vs. regular photography
tv dinners vs. cooking
microwave vs. oven
flipping vs scrolling(we're not ready to abandon the codex)
databases vs notebooks
rolodex vs PDA
verbal vs aural
voice-over-IP vs phone
newspapers vs web news (who *really* does the crossword online?)
and so on.
This thread is closed to new comments. Thanks to everyone who responded.

